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Tuesday, January 8, 2008
Lessons from New Hampshire
The New Hampshire Primary tonight has taught me some very valuable lessons. Everyone was talking about how big the Obama victory would be and he ended up loosing. Mitt Romney was supposed to win the first two states and he finished a strong second to two different candidates. As a student of politics it is easy to think that politics is a science, and it’s not.
If there is one thing that politics should teach us, it is that the people make their decision regardless of the polls. Despite how much the pundits think they know what they are talking about; they don’t . . . unless they do.
There was defiantly a strategy to Clinton’s win in New Hampshire, but when the candidates own advisor is “pleasantly surprised” about a victory, there is no explanation (of course one could say this is political posturing to play the expectation game). There is no mathematical formula to box individuals into particular camps. One may never know what made the 19% of the voters in New Hampshire make up their mind on Primary Day.
What I will say is that I have learned a lot from tonight that I will carry with me for the rest of my life.